Handicapping Class and Improvement in Horse Racing

One of the difficult factors to estimate or quantify inhave a cumulative score that high. For instance, the
horse racing handicapping is class. Class is probablyclass score for a 6 furlong 10,000 claiming race for 3
best described as the level at which a horse canyear olds and up may be 79, using the score supplied
compete competitively. That, of course, means a levelby one of the major past performance companies.
at which it can win or place. While you may look at aScanning the entries you find that there are 3 horses
horse dropping out of a 10,000 claimer into a 5,000who have a 79 or higher and three who are below
claimer and say it is a class horse in that race, it maythat level. According to this method, those horses
still lose the 5,000 claimer while another horse in thewhose scores are below 79 would be dismissed from
race may win without dropping.consideration for the win position.
Once the horse who dropped out of the 10,000 claimerOn closer inspection you find that two of the horses
lost at 5,000 it had shed more light on its own abilitywho fail to measure up are three year olds, while the
and where it belongs, depending upon where it finished.third horse is a 6 year old. The three year olds are
If it finished within a few lengths of the winner ormoving up through their conditions. They may be able
contested an abnormally fast pace in the early stagesto improve, in fact you would expect it. The six year
of the race only to fail, then it may actually belong atold is another story. Unless there is something radical
the 5,000 level. On the other hand, if it ran out of thethat is going to occur in its training, that horse has
money without a good excuse, then it probably isn't atdemonstrated through the years its own class level.
that level, yet.While it is true that any horse, no matter how old or
Form cycles are what determine the class of a horse.young, does still have a form cycle, the top of the form
Obviously, since form changes so does the level atcycle has usually been established for older horses. It
which a horse can be competitive. Another verywill gradually lose class as it ages, barring catastrophic
important consideration is age. While a young horse ofinjuries.
2, 3, or even 4 may still be developing and can rise inTherefore, when handicapping class, look for the top
class, as a horse gets older it is more difficult to riselevel an older horse has competed at and consider
above its own class.that its form cycle ceiling, but do not discount younger
One of the popular methods of determining who thehorses who may still be seeking their own level of
competitors in a race may be is to set a class level forability.
the race and then eliminate any horse who does not